Cimarronesvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/11/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cimarrones are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cancún are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60