GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/16/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cimarrones are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CimarronesWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CimarronesAtlante FC
53.8Attack48.4
50.5Defence78.6
46.2Form63.5
51.4Power63.9
0.91xG1.37
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