GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/14/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cimarrones are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CimarronesWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Atlante FCDWWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CimarronesAtlante FC
53.8Attack48.4
50.5Defence78.6
46.2Form63.5
51.4Power63.9
0.91xG1.37
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