CimarronesvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Cimarrones are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.