Ciezavs
Valencia II
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 11/11/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cieza · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.1% | 58.1% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 23.3% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 18.6% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Cieza
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Cieza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CiezaWWDLW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Valencia IILWLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CiezaValencia II
60.0Attack33.3
80.0Defence38.9
66.7Form22.2
68.2Power34.5
2.06xG0.66