Ciezavs
Atlético Baleares
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Baleares · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cieza 1-1 Atlético Baleares
Original prediction
Atlético Baleares
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 31.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 29.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.5% | 39.0% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Baleares
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Atlético Baleares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40