Ciervosvs
Cañoneros Marina
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 10/17/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ciervos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciervos 3-1 Cañoneros Marina
Original prediction
Ciervos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.8% | 42.0% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.3% | 24.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 38.8% | 33.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ciervos
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Ciervos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40