Ciervosvs
Artesanos Metepec
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artesanos Metepec · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciervos 0-3 Artesanos Metepec
Original prediction
Artesanos Metepec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.17 | 21.7% | 19.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 23.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.3% | 57.2% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Artesanos Metepec
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Artesanos Metepec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80