Ciencianovs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cienciano 1-0 UTC Cajamarca
Original prediction
Cienciano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.2% | 70.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.64 | 16.3% | 16.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 9.64 | 9.5% | 12.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60