GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCV MoqueguaWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CiencianoUCV Moquegua
58.7Attack30.2
55.6Defence55.6
57.1Form33.3
58.0Power41.8
1.76xG0.70
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