GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Puerto Cabello are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Puerto CabelloLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CiencianoPuerto Cabello
53.3Attack28.6
63.3Defence57.1
50.0Form38.1
54.2Power42.5
1.53xG0.65
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