Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cienciano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Juventud are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00