GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoWDLWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FBC MelgarLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CiencianoFBC Melgar
53.3Attack33.3
63.3Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
54.2Power45.3
1.53xG0.84
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