Copa De La LigaCopa De La Liga
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Cienciano

Cienciano

Home
L
21
Full time
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Away
L
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Cienciano(48%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Cienciano
Win probability
Cienciano
48%
Draw
25%
Deportivo Garcilaso
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cienciano
73
Deportivo Garcilaso
9
Defence
Cienciano
6
Deportivo Garcilaso
66
Momentum
Cienciano
0
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
Danger (xG)
Cienciano
1.80
Deportivo Garcilaso
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Cienciano)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Cienciano)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CiencianoCienciano
LWL
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
LWLW

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Cienciano48%
Draw25%
Deportivo Garcilaso27%

Cienciano leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cienciano head into this in Copa De La Liga fixture at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in mixed form (L), while Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in mixed form (L). Cienciano have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Garcilaso over 1 games.

The model rates Cienciano's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Deportivo Garcilaso defence, and Deportivo Garcilaso's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Cienciano backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Cienciano have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Deportivo Garcilaso have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Deportivo Garcilaso have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Cienciano have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Cienciano to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Cienciano 4790%, Draw 2460%, Deportivo Garcilaso 2740%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Cienciano 1Draws 00 Deportivo Garcilaso
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
22 Jun 2026
Cienciano
W21
Deportivo Garcilaso

Recent form

Cienciano

Cienciano

L
vs ADT
10 Jul 2026
23
W
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
22 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Alianza Lima
16 May 2026
01
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

L
@ Sporting Cristal
17 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
W
vs Deportivo Binacional
29 Jun 2026
41
L
@ Cienciano
22 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Alianza Atletico
11 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

GoalVio's model predicts Cienciano to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more