Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cienciano are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cusco are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00