Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceCienciano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CiencianoLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CuscoLWLWL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CiencianoCusco
58.7Attack49.2
55.6Defence50.8
57.1Form52.4
58.0Power51.5
1.89xG1.18