Ciencianovs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cienciano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Caracas FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20