GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CiencianoAtletico-MG
53.3Attack42.9
63.3Defence71.4
50.0Form61.9
54.2Power61.2
1.11xG0.89
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