Ciencianovs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cienciano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80