Ciencianovs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cienciano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40