GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cibao · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cibao 1-1 Universidad O&M

Original prediction

Cibao

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5258.5%48.0%-10.5 pts
Draw3.6924.1%26.3%2.2 pts
Away5.0817.5%25.8%8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Cibao

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CibaoLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Universidad O&MWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CibaoUniversidad O&M
60.0Attack46.7
66.7Defence66.7
60.0Form46.7
62.5Power52.9
1.42xG0.99
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