Cibaovs
Portmore United
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cibao · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cibao 1-2 Portmore United
Original prediction
Cibao
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.1% | 44.8% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.89 | 18.4% | 26.7% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Cibao
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00