Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cibao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Cibao are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Jarabacoa are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cibao hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Liga Mayor, while Cibao holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cibao
Probability
86.0%
Model confidence
86.0%
Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00