GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 8/25/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cibao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cibao are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atlético Pantoja are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cibao hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Cibao holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cibao

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CibaoWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético PantojaWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CibaoAtlético Pantoja
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
33.3Form25.0
45.3Power39.1
1.38xG0.98
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