Serie DSerie D
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Cianorte

Cianorte

Home
LD
01
Full time
ASA

ASA

Away
W
Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Draw(31%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Prediction missed— Result: ASA
Win probability
Cianorte
36%
Draw
31%
ASA
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cianorte
9
ASA
34
Defence
Cianorte
82
ASA
91
Momentum
Cianorte
17
ASA
100
Danger (xG)
Cianorte
0.00
ASA
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cianorte)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (ASA)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cianorte)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (ASA)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CianorteCianorte
LD
ASAASA
WW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Cianorte36%
Draw31%
ASA33%

Cianorte leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cianorte head into this in Serie D fixture at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay in mixed form (LD), while ASA arrive in mixed form (W). Cianorte have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for ASA over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Cianorte (82/100) and ASA (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Cianorte have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. ASA have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

ASA have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Cianorte 3575%, Draw 3079%, ASA 3346%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Cianorte 0Draws 01 ASA
Avg goals: 1.0
18 Jul 2026
Cianorte
L01
ASA

Recent form

Cianorte

Cianorte

L
vs ASA
18 Jul 2026
01
D
@ XV de Piracicaba
11 Jul 2026
00
ASA

ASA

W
@ Cianorte
18 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Juazeirense
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cianorte vs ASA?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cianorte vs ASA?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Cianorte vs ASA?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cianorte vs ASA?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more