Churchill Brothersvs
Minerva Punjab
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minerva Punjab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Churchill Brothers 2-3 Minerva Punjab
Original prediction
Minerva Punjab
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.6% | 31.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.8% | 27.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.6% | 41.5% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Minerva Punjab
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Minerva Punjab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40