K3 LeagueK3 League
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:03
Chuncheon

Chuncheon

Home
L
21
Full time
Ulsan Citizen

Ulsan Citizen

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Chuncheon(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Chuncheon
36%
Draw
29%
Ulsan Citizen
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chuncheon
34
Ulsan Citizen
94
Defence
Chuncheon
27
Ulsan Citizen
46
Momentum
Chuncheon
0
Ulsan Citizen
100
Danger (xG)
Chuncheon
0.90
Ulsan Citizen
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Chuncheon)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ulsan Citizen)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Chuncheon)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Ulsan Citizen)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ChuncheonChuncheon
DLW
Ulsan CitizenUlsan Citizen
WWWD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Chuncheon36%
Draw29%
Ulsan Citizen35%

Chuncheon leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chuncheon head into this in K3 League fixture in mixed form (L), while Ulsan Citizen arrive in decent form (WW). Chuncheon have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Ulsan Citizen over 2 games.

Tactically, Ulsan Citizen hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Chuncheon defence (27/100), while Chuncheon's attack faces a average Ulsan Citizen backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Chuncheon have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 6.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Ulsan Citizen have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Ulsan Citizen have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Chuncheon to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Chuncheon 3593%, Draw 2925%, Ulsan Citizen 3482%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Chuncheon 0Draws 01 Ulsan Citizen
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
4 Jul 2026
Chuncheon
L12
Ulsan Citizen

Recent form

Chuncheon

Chuncheon

D
@ Changwon City
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Ulsan Citizen
4 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
16 May 2026
61
Ulsan Citizen

Ulsan Citizen

W
vs Seoul E-Land FC
15 Jul 2026
42
W
vs Yeoju Sejong
10 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Chuncheon
4 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Yangpyeong
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts Chuncheon to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more