GGOALVIO

France · National 2 - Group B · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avranches · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Châteaubriant are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Avranches are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and avranches hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National 2 - Group B, favouring Avranches with 13.9% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avranches

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

13.9%

Avranches has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChâteaubriantLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AvranchesDDDLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChâteaubriantAvranches
40.0Attack51.1
52.2Defence52.2
41.1Form45.6
46.6Power50.8
1.21xG1.35
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