Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrudim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chrudim 2-2 Čáslav
Original prediction
Chrudim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.2% | 48.2% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 25.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.1% | 26.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Chrudim
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Chrudim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChrudimDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ČáslavLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ChrudimČáslav
100.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power50.0
1.99xG1.22