Chrobry Głogówvs
Warta Poznań
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrobry Głogów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chrobry Głogów 1-3 Warta Poznań
Original prediction
Chrobry Głogów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 45.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 25.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.4% | 29.1% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Chrobry Głogów
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Chrobry Głogów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80