GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/30/2026, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chrobry Głogów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Chrobry Głogów 2-0 Ruch Chorzów

Original prediction

Chrobry Głogów

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9630.6%46.0%15.3 pts
Draw3.2228.2%25.9%-2.2 pts
Away2.2141.2%28.1%-13.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Chrobry Głogów

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Chrobry Głogów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chrobry GłogówLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ruch ChorzówWWDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Chrobry GłogówRuch Chorzów
83.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence44.4
50.0Form11.1
62.5Power26.4
2.00xG0.95
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