Chrobry Głogówvs
Pogoń Siedlce
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrobry Głogów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Pogoń Siedlce
Original prediction
Chrobry Głogów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.6% | 48.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 26.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.8% | 25.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Chrobry Głogów
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Chrobry Głogów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00