Chrobry Głogówvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrobry Głogów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chrobry Głogów 0-4 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Chrobry Głogów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.3% | 36.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 29.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.4% | 34.1% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Chrobry Głogów
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Chrobry Głogów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60