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Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Chrobry Głogów

Chrobry Głogów

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L
12
Full time
Ślęza Wrocław

Ślęza Wrocław

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Chrobry Głogów39%
Draw35%
Ślęza Wrocław26%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Chrobry Głogów
39%
Draw
35%
Ślęza Wrocław
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chrobry Głogów
34
Ślęza Wrocław
54
Defence
Chrobry Głogów
27
Ślęza Wrocław
66
Momentum
Chrobry Głogów
0
Ślęza Wrocław
50
Danger (xG)
Chrobry Głogów
0.90
Ślęza Wrocław
1.35
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.67 xG for Chrobry Głogów and 1.20 xG for Ślęza Wrocław — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Chrobry Głogów holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.86 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Chrobry Głogów's Defensive Stability (27) and Ślęza Wrocław's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Chrobry Głogów)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ślęza Wrocław)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Chrobry Głogów)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Ślęza Wrocław)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów
L
Ślęza WrocławŚlęza Wrocław
WL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Chrobry Głogów39%
Draw35%
Ślęza Wrocław26%

Chrobry Głogów leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Chrobry Głogów Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Chrobry Głogów host Ślęza Wrocław in Friendlies Clubs. Chrobry Głogów have recorded LLWLLW in recent matches while Ślęza Wrocław arrive with a run of WLLLWD. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.6 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.67 for Chrobry Głogów and 1.20 for Ślęza Wrocław. The gap of 1.47 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Chrobry Głogów have been conceding 2.45 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Chrobry Głogów

Chrobry Głogów

L
vs Znicz Pruszków
16 May 2026
12
Ślęza Wrocław

Ślęza Wrocław

W
vs Słowianin
16 May 2026
20
L
@ SKRA Częstochowa
13 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Ślęza Wrocław?

GoalVio's model predicts Chrobry Głogów to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chrobry Głogów vs Ślęza Wrocław?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Chrobry Głogów vs Ślęza Wrocław?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chrobry Głogów vs Ślęza Wrocław?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more