Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chotebor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chotebor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Vsetín are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chotebor hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Cup, while Chotebor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chotebor
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
9.8%
Chotebor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80