Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chotebor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chotebor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FS Třebíč are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chotebor hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the 4. liga - Divizie D, while Chotebor holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chotebor
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
11.8%
Chotebor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80