GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chornomorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chornomorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vilkhivtsi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chornomorets hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Cup, while Chornomorets holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chornomorets

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

11.8%

Chornomorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChornomoretsWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VilkhivtsiWWLWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ChornomoretsVilkhivtsi
75.0Attack0.0
41.7Defence100.0
75.0Form33.3
64.8Power45.3
1.82xG1.20
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