Chornomoretsvs
Obolon'-Brovar
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chornomorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chornomorets 1-1 Obolon'-Brovar
Original prediction
Chornomorets
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.8% | 42.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.9% | 29.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.3% | 28.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Chornomorets
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Chornomorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00