GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chornomorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chornomorets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Obolon'-Brovar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chornomorets hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Premier League, while Chornomorets holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chornomorets

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Chornomorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChornomoretsLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Obolon'-BrovarLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ChornomoretsObolon'-Brovar
42.2Attack20.8
47.8Defence56.3
35.6Form31.3
42.9Power39.2
1.20xG0.69
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