Chornomoretsvs
Livyi Bereh
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livyi Bereh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chornomorets 0-0 Livyi Bereh
Original prediction
Livyi Bereh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.8% | 33.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.4% | 36.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Livyi Bereh
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Livyi Bereh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60