Chornomoretsvs
Kryvbas KR
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kryvbas KR · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chornomorets 1-0 Kryvbas KR
Original prediction
Kryvbas KR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.9% | 28.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 27.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.5% | 44.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Kryvbas KR
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Kryvbas KR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00