Chornomoretsvs
Karpaty
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chornomorets 0-1 Karpaty, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chornomorets 0-0 Karpaty
Original prediction
Karpaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.15 | 14.9% | 16.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.9% | 24.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 63.1% | 59.4% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Projected Score
Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChornomoretsLLDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KarpatyDLWDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChornomoretsKarpaty
16.7Attack63.0
58.3Defence70.4
20.8Form55.6
35.1Power62.3
0.53xG1.53