Chornomoretsvs
FC Kharkiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Kharkiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chornomorets 0-1 FC Kharkiv, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chornomorets 1-2 FC Kharkiv
Original prediction
FC Kharkiv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.53 | 12.2% | 18.8% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.5% | 26.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 66.3% | 54.8% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Chornomorets 0–1 FC Kharkiv
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Kharkiv
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
FC Kharkiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChornomoretsDLDWL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FC KharkivLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ChornomoretsFC Kharkiv
11.1Attack66.7
66.7Defence77.8
27.8Form66.7
38.3Power68.1
0.64xG1.32