GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/3/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penuel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chornomorets II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penuel

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chornomorets IIDLWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PenuelWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chornomorets IIPenuel
27.8Attack44.4
37.8Defence55.6
26.7Form44.4
33.2Power51.1
0.82xG1.74
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