Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chorley 1-2 Chester
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.0%
Model confidence
13.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChorleyWDLLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ChesterLDWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChorleyChester
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.16xG1.52