GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chorley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brackley Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Brackley Town hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 13.4% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.0%

Model confidence

13.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChorleyLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Brackley TownWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChorleyBrackley Town
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.16xG1.52
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