GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brackley Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chorley are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brackley Town are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Brackley Town hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the National League - North, while Brackley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brackley Town

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Brackley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChorleyDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Brackley TownWLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
ChorleyBrackley Town
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.15xG1.52
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