GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

13.6%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chongqing Tongliang LongWWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sichuan JiuniuLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongSichuan Jiuniu
36.2Attack45.5
60.9Defence37.9
43.5Form34.8
49.5Power41.0
1.50xG0.96
View match centre →