GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/14/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

14.5%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chongqing Tongliang LongDWDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenyang UrbanLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongShenyang Urban
36.2Attack44.4
60.9Defence47.6
43.5Form38.1
49.5Power44.0
1.25xG0.95
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