Chongqing Tongliang Longvs
Qingdao Jonoon
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon
Original prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.7% | 56.5% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.49 | 16.9% | 23.6% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 11.03 | 8.4% | 19.9% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20