Chonburi FCvs
Rayong FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chonburi FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chonburi FC 2-3 Rayong FC
Original prediction
Chonburi FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.1% | 37.9% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.2% | 34.1% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Chonburi FC
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Chonburi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60